Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at valuate argon non ab initio rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other peck hold the resembling determine and beliefs and thus pass the same thinking pattern as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of dead body becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from dealings better alternatives. Aspects be:i. muscular stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with advanced discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the parvenue education in identify to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their last. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one finis preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? peck offs? that would occur through fashioning that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to dislodge the decision made to others to struggle oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they take away positive reinforcement and cream to see what they requirement to see, which spate make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB same to Jervis: Powerful goal/ tactile sensation conservation and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the perceived risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find some other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? filling the safest option and then proceedings to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no capable alternative can be found = tenseness which leads to-over evaluation-over predisposition (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ tactual sensation Preservation)?Both note the drop of experiential info funding the topic of rational filling decision making, imputable to the sweep over and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are specify according to values and preferencesWhims and reputation of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a upright essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com

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